Disease biology & epidemiology
Disease risk is not determined by whether a pathogen is present, but by how much viable pathogen is present.
This is known as inoculum pressure.
Low inoculum pressure may result in little or no disease even under favourable conditions.
High inoculum pressure can overwhelm plant defences during very short risk windows.
Inoculum refers to any viable form of a pathogen capable of causing infection, including:
The form varies by pathogen, but the principle is the same.
Inoculum pressure influences:
General pattern:
This explains why the same conditions produce different outcomes in different sites.
Inoculum rarely appears spontaneously. It is carried over from:
Protected systems often accumulate inoculum year after year unless actively disrupted.
Most epidemics
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