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thermal → gdh_bbch_bands

Indicative GDH to BBCH Relationships (Advanced Reference)

This page provides indicative relationships between accumulated thermal time (GDH or GDD) and phenological development (BBCH stages).

These values are not fixed thresholds and must be interpreted with care.


Important caveats

  • Values vary by cultivar, site, season, and management
  • Dormancy must be fully released before GDH becomes meaningful
  • Use ranges, not single numbers

This information is intended for pattern recognition, not prediction.

Important note on units (GDD vs GDH)

Most published phenology and BBCH reference data is expressed in Growing Degree Days (GDD), not Growing Degree Hours (GDH).

Agrinomy uses GDH internally for higher-resolution modelling, but BBCH stage relationships are best interpreted using GDD-scale magnitudes.

As a guide: - 1 GDD ≈ 24 GDH - Values shown below are given in GDD-equivalent ranges - GDH values will therefore appear much larger numerically


Example: Apple (temperate orchard)

After confirmed dormancy release

Approx. thermal range (GDD) Typical BBCH stage
0 – 50 GDD Bud swell (01–03)
50 – 100 GDD Green tip (07–09)
100 – 180 GDD Tight cluster (51–53)
180 – 300 GDD Flowering (60–65)
300 – 500 GDD Fruit set (69–71)
500+ GDD Early fruit development (72+)

Example: Strawberry (June-bearing)

After dormancy release

Approx. GDD range Typical stage
0 – 80 GDD Leaf expansion
80 – 150 GDD Flowering
150 – 300 GDD Fruit set and fill
300+ GDD Harvest flush

(For GDH users: multiply GDD values by ~24 for approximate GDH equivalents.)

How to use these bands

  • Track GDH from confirmed dormancy release
  • Use BBCH observations to validate model behaviour
  • Compare seasons rather than chasing absolute values
  • Expect bands to shift in warm or dull springs

Why Agrinomy uses bands, not thresholds

Biology is probabilistic.

Using bands: - reflects real crop behaviour - avoids false confidence - supports decision-making without over-promising


Key principle

Thermal time describes tendencies, not guarantees.